Bobcat I is a mechanical day-trading strategy designed specifically for the Russell 2000 mini.  It attempts to capture large intraday price moves. This strategy uses price patterns and market internals in its decision making process. It only trades on days shown statistically to be robust and will only take one trade per day. No trades are held overnight. All orders are market or stop market to ensure real-time trades will be filled (no partial orders, unfilled limit orders, etc.).

Hypothetical results and graphs are shown below.  All performance results are based on 1 contract per trade, include $50 round-trip commission and slippage per trade and are non-compounded results (profits are not reinvested).  The lease price is not included in these results.  No management or incentive fees are charged.  The method used to determine purchase and sale price for each trade is established by a mathematical computation that is proprietary.

Click here for a full hypothetical performance report (must be opened with Internet Explorer or IE Tab in Firefox). 

NOTE:  Updates were applied starting December 1, 2010 and March 21, 2011.  The results below are based on using the updated code for the entire backtest period.  To see a report with results of the original strategy and results from each update date forward based on the updated code, please click here.

FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.  PEOPLE CAN AND DO LOSE MONEY.  PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.  ALTHOUGH EVERY ATTEMPT IS MADE TO ENSURE THE ACCURACY OF THESE NUMBERS, WE CANNOT GUARANTEE THAT THEY ARE, DUE TO INACCURACIES IN DATA OR ERRORS IN CALCULATION.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORDS, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE OVER OR UNDER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS SUCH AS A LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL TRADING IS THAT SUCH TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKET IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

5 year Hypothetical Performance Summary (based on a $15,000 account not compounded):

Hypothetical Closed Trade Equity Graph:

Hypothetical Monthly Net Profit:

Hypothetical Daily Drawdown Graph:

Bobcat I